The following tools will be used for the exercise:
- Spectrum Software (version 4.46) (www.futuresinstitute.org)
- The Goals, HIV and AIM manuals
- Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra State files, with certain datasets and variables
The input data required for the modelling exercise are classified as epidemiological, behavioural, interventions, demographic or costing data. The data will be obtained from national/state-specific reports such as the Demographic and Health survey (DHS), NFHS, HSS (using EPP), BSS, SAC/NACO Annual reports, IBBA reports and peer-reviewed journal articles closest to the period 1986-2011. In some cases estimates or expected data as computed by international agencies such as UNAIDS, UN statistics division, WHO and others may be used. We will calibrate the model to HIV prevalence data by risk group and validate it by comparing the estimated AIDS mortality, HIV prevalence and the number of people receiving ART with respective data.